Global Carbon Budget 2026: Fossil CO2 emissions projected to fall slightly
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Global Carbon Project
Global
2026
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COMPAMIR Editorial Team
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Read our editorial policy- Earlier version 111/10/2026, 8:31:04 PM
Global fossil fuel and cement CO2 emissions are projected to fall by 0.4% in 2026 to 38.2bn tonnes. The decline is primarily driven by a 1.9% drop in oil emissions following the Iran conflict and Hormuz strait closure. Total CO2 emissions, including land-use change, are expected to reach a record high of 43.3GtCO2 due to increased peat fires and deforestation. Clean energy growth (solar, wind, EVs) offsets two-thirds of rising energy demand, but is insufficient for a sustained decline.
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