Major opinion poll predicts One Nation could win dozens of seats in federal election

Source:ABC News Aus

02 — Who / Subject

One Nation Party, RedBridge Group, Accent Research

03 — Where / Locus

Australia

04 — When / Temporality

May 23, 2026

Verified: May 23, 2026

05 — Why / Core Summary

"A RedBridge Group and Accent Research poll suggests One Nation could win between 46 and 59 seats. The poll indicates a potential dismantling of the traditional two-party system in Australia. One Nation MP Barnaby Joyce dismissed the poll as 'hubristic' and premature. Labor and the Coalition are projected to lose significant ground if these results hold."

Conflict Analysis

This is a snapshot of voter sentiment rather than a definitive election outcome. The high seat projection for a minor party is highly speculative and reflects current voter dissatisfaction.

Recommended Background Resource

Affiliate / AdAI Curation

The Rise of Populism: How the Populist Right is Reshaping Western Politics

Author: Roger Eatwell and Matthew Goodwin

This book provides a comprehensive analysis of the global rise of populist movements, explaining the underlying socio-economic grievances and the decline of traditional two-party systems that are currently manifesting in the Australian political landscape.

Explore Background Book (Amazon)

As an Amazon Associate, COMPAMIR earns from qualifying purchases.

Post